Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.111859 0.123491 0.135400 0.148476 0.162405 0.176774 0.192689
2024-12-29 0.094163 0.111819 0.130775 0.152522 0.176664 0.202527 0.232212
2025-01-05 0.080803 0.102484 0.126764 0.155678 0.188884 0.225548 0.268808
2025-01-12 0.070128 0.094502 0.122855 0.157741 0.198976 0.245656 0.301975
2025-01-19 0.061048 0.087132 0.118566 0.158400 0.206696 0.262558 0.331239
2025-01-26 0.058526 0.087340 0.123018 0.169234 0.226317 0.293368 0.376912
2025-02-02 0.052754 0.082698 0.120883 0.171517 0.235281 0.311381 0.407492
2025-02-09 0.048324 0.079319 0.119927 0.174923 0.245377 0.330634 0.439575
2025-02-16 0.043145 0.074373 0.116468 0.174725 0.250663 0.343835 0.464268
2025-02-23 0.041804 0.074676 0.119902 0.183455 0.267301 0.371156 0.506453
2025-03-02 0.040005 0.074106 0.121998 0.190326 0.281543 0.395576 0.545259
2025-03-09 0.036230 0.070216 0.119171 0.190309 0.286625 0.408351 0.569556
2025-03-16 0.031383 0.064401 0.113485 0.186420 0.286854 0.415436 0.587501
2025-03-23 0.029693 0.063493 0.114874 0.192418 0.300445 0.439965 0.627977
2025-03-30 0.027674 0.061852 0.115052 0.196653 0.311698 0.461615 0.665079
2025-04-06 0.025456 0.059644 0.114201 0.199298 0.320744 0.480442 0.698730
2025-04-13 0.023053 0.056851 0.112239 0.200164 0.327241 0.495904 0.728126
2025-04-20 0.023408 0.059086 0.118260 0.212929 0.350518 0.533873 0.787124
2025-04-27 0.021657 0.057220 0.117588 0.215623 0.359613 0.552976 0.821638
2025-05-04 0.020308 0.055976 0.117824 0.219620 0.370551 0.574610 0.859619
2025-05-11 0.018309 0.053227 0.115388 0.219391 0.375354 0.587935 0.886696
2025-05-18 0.018265 0.054452 0.119667 0.229607 0.395329 0.622044 0.941562
2025-05-25 0.017856 0.054862 0.122532 0.237632 0.412186 0.652012 0.991112